James Paxton Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often James Paxton has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 39%
- 2026 season
- —
- Recent form
- 40%
14-22 across 36 graded games
0-0 across 0 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | vs HOU | 3.5 | 0 | void |
| Aug 5 | @ KC | 3.5 | 2 | loss |
| Jul 30 | vs SEA | 3.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jul 21 | vs BOS | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Jul 12 | @ DET | 2.5 | 3 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 61%
- 2026 season
- —
- Recent form
- 60%
22-14 across 36 graded games
0-0 across 0 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11 | vs HOU | 3.5 | 0 | void |
| Aug 5 | @ KC | 3.5 | 2 | win |
| Jul 30 | vs SEA | 3.5 | 3 | win |
| Jul 21 | vs BOS | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jul 12 | @ DET | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View James Paxton's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.