Derek Carr Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Derek Carr has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 48%
- 2025 season
- —
13-14 across 27 graded games
0-0 across 0 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8 | @ NYG | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 1 | vs LA | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Nov 17 | vs CLE | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Nov 10 | vs ATL | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Nov 3 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 52%
- 2025 season
- —
14-13 across 27 graded games
0-0 across 0 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8 | @ NYG | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 1 | vs LA | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Nov 17 | vs CLE | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Nov 10 | vs ATL | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Nov 3 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Derek Carr's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.