Aaron Civale Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Aaron Civale has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 43%
- 2026 season
- 30%
- Recent form
- 30%
32-42 across 74 graded games
3-7 across 10 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25 | vs SEA | 2.5 | 7 | void |
| May 20 | @ LAA | 2.5 | 5 | win |
| May 15 | vs SF | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| May 9 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| May 3 | vs CLE | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 57%
- 2026 season
- 70%
- Recent form
- 70%
42-32 across 74 graded games
7-3 across 10 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25 | vs SEA | 2.5 | 7 | void |
| May 20 | @ LAA | 2.5 | 5 | loss |
| May 15 | vs SF | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| May 9 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| May 3 | vs CLE | 2.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Aaron Civale's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.