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Aaron Judge Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Aaron Judge has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.

Home runs counts home runs hit, inside-the-park ones too. A grand slam is still one.

Over Home runs

All-time hit rate
28%

127-323 across 450 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 18, 2026—1.5—dnp
Sep 16, 2026@ MIN0.50loss

Under Home runs

All-time hit rate
69%

266-120 across 386 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Jun 2, 2026—0.5—dnp
May 30, 2026@ ATH0.50win

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More Aaron Judge props

Every market with graded history for Aaron Judge, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

All Aaron Judge props — every graded market on one page.

Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.