Andrew Alvarez Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Andrew Alvarez has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 28, 2026.
Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 35%
- 2026 season
- 38%
- Recent form
- 30%
6-11 across 17 graded games
5-8 across 13 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
Most recent graded game: Sep 25, 2026 — book coverage of this market has been thin lately, so “recent” here can span more than a month.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs NYM | 1.5 | 5 | win |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ STL | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs LAA | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
| Sep 6, 2026 | @ LAD | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs MIA | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 65%
- 2026 season
- 62%
- Recent form
- 70%
11-6 across 17 graded games
8-5 across 13 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
Most recent graded game: Sep 25, 2026 — book coverage of this market has been thin lately, so “recent” here can span more than a month.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs NYM | 1.5 | 5 | loss |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ STL | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs LAA | 1.5 | 0 | win |
| Sep 6, 2026 | @ LAD | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Aug 30, 2026 | vs MIA | 2.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Andrew Alvarez's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Andrew Alvarez props
Every market with graded history for Andrew Alvarez, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Hits allowedLine 4.5 · 29% all-time · 31% this season · 30% L10
- StrikeoutsLine 4.5 · 63% all-time · 60% this season · 80% L10
All Andrew Alvarez props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.