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Casey Mize Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Casey Mize has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 46%
- 2026 season
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29-34 across 63 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs ARI | 1.5 | 7 | win |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs MIA | 1.5 | 5 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 54%
- 2026 season
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34-29 across 63 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs ARI | 1.5 | 7 | loss |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs MIA | 1.5 | 5 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Casey Mize's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Casey Mize props
Every market with graded history for Casey Mize, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Hits allowedLine 4.5 · 52% all-time
- Outs recordedLine 14.5 · 55% all-time
- StrikeoutsLine 4.5 · 49% all-time
- WalksLine 1.5 · 43% all-time
All Casey Mize props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

