Casey Mize Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Casey Mize has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 43%
- 2026 season
- 27%
- Recent form
- 30%
25-33 across 58 graded games
4-11 across 15 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 2.5 | 4 | void |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Aug 5 | @ ARI | 2.5 | 8 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 57%
- 2026 season
- 73%
- Recent form
- 70%
33-25 across 58 graded games
11-4 across 15 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 2.5 | 4 | void |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Aug 5 | @ ARI | 2.5 | 8 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Casey Mize's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.