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Francisco Alvarez Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Home runs counts home runs hit, inside-the-park ones too. A grand slam is still one.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 13%
- 2026 season
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43-295 across 338 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | — | 1.5 | — | dnp |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ WSH | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 84%
- 2026 season
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190-37 across 227 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | vs STL | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ STL | 0.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Francisco Alvarez's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Francisco Alvarez props
Every market with graded history for Francisco Alvarez, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- HitsLine 0.5 · 56% all-time
- Hits + Runs + RBILine 1.5 · 45% all-time
- RBILine 0.5 · 29% all-time
- RunsLine 0.5 · 33% all-time
- SinglesLine 0.5 · 41% all-time
- Total basesLine 0.5 · 45% all-time
- WalksLine 0.5 · 29% all-time
All Francisco Alvarez props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.