Francisco Alvarez Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 12%
- 2026 season
- 8%
- Recent form
- 0%
18-133 across 151 graded games
5-61 across 66 graded games
0-10 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 28 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 25 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 83%
- 2026 season
- 80%
- Recent form
- 70%
64-13 across 77 graded games
4-1 across 5 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10 | vs STL | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Apr 1 | @ STL | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 31 | @ STL | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 30 | @ STL | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 28 | vs PIT | 0.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Francisco Alvarez's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.