Lucas Giolito Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Lucas Giolito has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 37%
- 2026 season
- 0%
- Recent form
- 30%
18-31 across 49 graded games
0-1 across 1 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Sep 23 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| Sep 17 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 4 | win |
| Sep 12 | vs NYY | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| Sep 6 | @ ARI | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 63%
- 2026 season
- 100%
- Recent form
- 70%
31-18 across 49 graded games
1-0 across 1 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Sep 23 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| Sep 17 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 4 | loss |
| Sep 12 | vs NYY | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| Sep 6 | @ ARI | 2.5 | 2 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Lucas Giolito's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.