Matt Chapman Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Matt Chapman has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 11%
- 2026 season
- 6%
- Recent form
- 30%
26-206 across 232 graded games
4-61 across 65 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 2 | win |
| Jun 9 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Jun 8 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Jun 7 | @ CHC | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
| Jun 6 | @ CHC | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 86%
- 2026 season
- 80%
- Recent form
- 80%
149-25 across 174 graded games
8-2 across 10 graded games
8-2 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 8 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 2 | @ MIL | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 1 | @ MIL | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| May 27 | vs ARI | 0.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Matt Chapman's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.