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Merrill Kelly Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Merrill Kelly has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 41%
- 2026 season
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35-51 across 86 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | @ COL | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Sep 16, 2026 | vs MIA | 2.5 | 3 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 59%
- 2026 season
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50-35 across 85 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | @ COL | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Sep 16, 2026 | vs MIA | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Merrill Kelly's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Merrill Kelly props
Every market with graded history for Merrill Kelly, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Hits allowedLine 5.5 · 42% all-time
- Outs recordedLine 15.5 · 62% all-time
- StrikeoutsLine 3.5 · 49% all-time
- WalksLine 1.5 · 57% all-time
All Merrill Kelly props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

