Merrill Kelly Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Merrill Kelly has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 40%
- 2026 season
- 47%
- Recent form
- 40%
33-49 across 82 graded games
8-9 across 17 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ SF | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 2.5 | 6 | win |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 2.5 | 6 | win |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 59%
- 2026 season
- 53%
- Recent form
- 60%
48-33 across 81 graded games
9-8 across 17 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ SF | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 24 | vs CHC | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Aug 18 | @ BOS | 2.5 | 6 | loss |
| Aug 12 | vs COL | 2.5 | 6 | loss |
| Aug 7 | vs LAD | 2.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Merrill Kelly's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.