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Merrill Kelly Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Merrill Kelly has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.

Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.

Over Earned runs

All-time hit rate
41%

35-51 across 86 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 23, 2026@ COL2.52loss
Sep 16, 2026vs MIA2.53win

Under Earned runs

All-time hit rate
59%

50-35 across 85 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 23, 2026@ COL2.52win
Sep 16, 2026vs MIA2.53loss

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More Merrill Kelly props

Every market with graded history for Merrill Kelly, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

All Merrill Kelly props — every graded market on one page.

Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.