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Mitch Keller Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Mitch Keller has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.

Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.

Over Earned runs

All-time hit rate
44%

44-55 across 99 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Aug 2, 2026@ CIN2.57win
Jul 27, 2026vs ARI2.52loss

Under Earned runs

All-time hit rate
56%

55-43 across 98 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Aug 2, 2026@ CIN2.57loss
Jul 27, 2026vs ARI2.52win

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More Mitch Keller props

Every market with graded history for Mitch Keller, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

All Mitch Keller props — every graded market on one page.

Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.