Mitch Keller Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Mitch Keller has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 44%
- 2026 season
- 36%
- Recent form
- 40%
44-55 across 99 graded games
5-9 across 14 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2 | @ CIN | 2.5 | 7 | win |
| Jul 27 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Jul 22 | @ NYY | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| May 24 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| May 19 | @ STL | 2.5 | 4 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 56%
- 2026 season
- 64%
- Recent form
- 60%
55-43 across 98 graded games
9-5 across 14 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2 | @ CIN | 2.5 | 7 | loss |
| Jul 27 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Jul 22 | @ NYY | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| May 24 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| May 19 | @ STL | 2.5 | 4 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Mitch Keller's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.