Nathan Church Runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Nathan Church has cleared a runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Runs
- All-time hit rate
- 37%
- 2026 season
- 36%
- Recent form
- 50%
29-50 across 79 graded games
26-47 across 73 graded games
5-5 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs PIT | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 28 | vs PIT | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 26 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 25 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 22 | @ PHI | 0.5 | 1 | win |
Under Runs
- All-time hit rate
- 63%
- 2026 season
- 64%
- Recent form
- 50%
50-29 across 79 graded games
47-26 across 73 graded games
5-5 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs PIT | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 28 | vs PIT | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 26 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Aug 25 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Aug 22 | @ PHI | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Nathan Church's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.