Nolan Arenado Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Nolan Arenado has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 12%
- 2026 season
- 14%
- Recent form
- 10%
27-191 across 218 graded games
14-88 across 102 graded games
1-9 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | @ SF | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 28 | @ SF | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 27 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Aug 26 | vs CHC | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 25 | vs CHC | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 88%
- 2026 season
- 91%
- Recent form
- 90%
109-15 across 124 graded games
10-1 across 11 graded games
9-1 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10 | @ MIA | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 9 | @ MIA | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 5 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 4 | vs LAD | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Jun 3 | vs LAD | 0.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Nolan Arenado's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

