Paul Skenes Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Paul Skenes has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 39%
- 2026 season
- 42%
- Recent form
- 60%
28-44 across 72 graded games
8-11 across 19 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SD | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 19 | vs DET | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Aug 11 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Aug 5 | @ MIL | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Jul 31 | @ CIN | 3.5 | 5 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 61%
- 2026 season
- 58%
- Recent form
- 40%
44-28 across 72 graded games
11-8 across 19 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ SD | 1.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 19 | vs DET | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Aug 11 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 5 | @ MIL | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jul 31 | @ CIN | 3.5 | 5 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Paul Skenes's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

