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Rafael Marchan Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Rafael Marchan has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.

Home runs counts home runs hit, inside-the-park ones too. A grand slam is still one.

Over Home runs

All-time hit rate
7%

3-39 across 42 graded games

2026 season
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Recent form
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 10, 2026vs HOU0.50loss
Jul 22, 2026vs LAD0.50loss

Under Home runs

All-time hit rate
86%

19-3 across 22 graded games

2026 season
—

0-0 across 0 graded games

Recent form
90%

9-1 across the last 10 graded games

Most recent graded game: Sep 25, 2025 — book coverage of this market has been thin lately, so “recent” here can span more than a month.

DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 25, 2025—0.5—dnp
Sep 5, 2025@ MIA0.50win
Aug 24, 2025vs WSH0.50win
Aug 17, 2025@ WSH0.50win
Aug 6, 2025vs BAL0.50win

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More Rafael Marchan props

Every market with graded history for Rafael Marchan, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

All Rafael Marchan props — every graded market on one page.

Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.