Seth Lugo Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Seth Lugo has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 35%
- 2026 season
- 50%
- Recent form
- 60%
34-62 across 96 graded games
10-10 across 20 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 5 | win |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 2.5 | 5 | win |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 3.5 | 5 | win |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 65%
- 2026 season
- 50%
- Recent form
- 40%
62-34 across 96 graded games
10-10 across 20 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | @ TOR | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 19 | vs ATH | 2.5 | 5 | loss |
| Aug 14 | @ LAA | 2.5 | 5 | loss |
| Aug 8 | vs CHC | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Aug 2 | @ COL | 3.5 | 5 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Seth Lugo's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.