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Seth Lugo Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Seth Lugo has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.

Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.

Over Earned runs

All-time hit rate
38%

38-63 across 101 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 23, 2026vs CHW2.54win
Sep 17, 2026@ HOU2.54win

Under Earned runs

All-time hit rate
62%

63-38 across 101 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Sep 23, 2026vs CHW2.54loss
Sep 17, 2026@ HOU2.54loss

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More Seth Lugo props

Every market with graded history for Seth Lugo, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

All Seth Lugo props — every graded market on one page.

Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.