Steven Matz Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Steven Matz has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 26%
- 2026 season
- 25%
- Recent form
- 30%
6-17 across 23 graded games
2-6 across 8 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
Most recent graded game: Aug 14, 2026 — book coverage of this market has been thin lately, so “recent” here can span more than a month.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 0 | void |
| May 27, 2026 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 6 | void |
| May 20, 2026 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| May 3, 2026 | vs SF | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| Apr 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 74%
- 2026 season
- 75%
- Recent form
- 70%
17-6 across 23 graded games
6-2 across 8 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
Most recent graded game: Aug 14, 2026 — book coverage of this market has been thin lately, so “recent” here can span more than a month.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 0 | void |
| May 27, 2026 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 6 | void |
| May 20, 2026 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| May 3, 2026 | vs SF | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| Apr 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 2 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Steven Matz's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Steven Matz props
Every market with graded history for Steven Matz, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Hits allowedLine 4.5 · 43% all-time · 25% this season · 30% L10
- Outs recordedLine 3.5 · 53% all-time · 63% this season · 50% L10
- StrikeoutsLine 4.5 · 35% all-time · 38% this season · 50% L10
- WalksLine 1.5 · 50% all-time · 100% this season · 60% L10
All Steven Matz props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.