Steven Matz Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Steven Matz has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 26%
- 2026 season
- 25%
- Recent form
- 30%
6-17 across 23 graded games
2-6 across 8 graded games
3-7 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 0 | void |
| May 27 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 6 | void |
| May 20 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| May 3 | vs SF | 2.5 | 1 | loss |
| Apr 27 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 74%
- 2026 season
- 75%
- Recent form
- 70%
17-6 across 23 graded games
6-2 across 8 graded games
7-3 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14 | vs BAL | 0.5 | 0 | void |
| May 27 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 6 | void |
| May 20 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| May 3 | vs SF | 2.5 | 1 | win |
| Apr 27 | @ CLE | 2.5 | 2 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Steven Matz's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.