Will Warren Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Will Warren has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 42%
- 2026 season
- 53%
- Recent form
- 50%
22-30 across 52 graded games
10-9 across 19 graded games
5-5 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | vs HOU | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Aug 19 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Aug 12 | vs SEA | 2.5 | 5 | win |
| Aug 5 | vs STL | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Jul 31 | @ CHC | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 58%
- 2026 season
- 47%
- Recent form
- 50%
30-22 across 52 graded games
9-10 across 19 graded games
5-5 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25 | vs HOU | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Aug 19 | @ BAL | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Aug 12 | vs SEA | 2.5 | 5 | loss |
| Aug 5 | vs STL | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jul 31 | @ CHC | 2.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Will Warren's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.