MLB Player Props

A worked example of the props board: how a posted line, a market-implied probability, and a recent hit rate fit together in one row.

EXAMPLE BOARD -- illustrative numbers, not live odds. Every row below is a made-up player and line, hand-picked to show how the real board reads. No sportsbook has posted any of these numbers for any real game. .

Market-implied probability is the sportsbooks' own number: their posted price, converted to a probability and stripped of the built-in margin (the vig). It is the market's read on the outcome, not a prediction of ours.

Hit rate is how often a player has actually cleared a line in their recent graded games -- real box scores, not projections. A game with no result yet, or a voided line, is left out rather than counted as a loss.

Read the full methodology.

Market odds and past results. Not predictions or betting advice.

Illustrative example MLB props board -- not live odds
Player	Matchup	Market	Line	Mkt implied	Hit rate
Marcus Idell	MIL vs CHC	Total Bases	Over 1.5	61.4%	70% (7/10)
Diego Salcedo	ARI vs SD	Hits	Over 0.5	68.9%	80% (8/10)
Trevor Wakeman	BOS vs NYY	Strikeouts	Over 5.5	54.2%	60% (6/10)
Cole Bannister	ATL vs PHI	Home Runs	Over 0.5	22.7%	20% (2/10)
Julian Restrepo	HOU vs SEA	RBI	Over 0.5	57.8%	50% (5/10)
Andre Voss	LAD vs SF	Stolen Bases	Over 0.5	31.5%	30% (3/10)
Kenji Otsuka	TOR vs BAL	Walks	Over 0.5	44.9%	40% (4/10)
Miles Halbert	CLE vs MIN	Hits Allowed	Under 5.5	52.3%	60% (6/10)

This example is fixed and does not change with the real slate. For research and entertainment only -- not a betting recommendation.

MLB player props by team

Every MLB player with graded prop history — pick a name for their full market breakdown.

ARI (28)

ATH (27)

ATL (22)

BAL (24)

BOS (27)

CHC (28)

CHW (23)

CIN (26)

CLE (25)

COL (25)

DET (28)

HOU (26)

KC (23)

LAA (26)

LAD (29)

MIA (19)

MIL (27)

MIN (24)

NYM (23)

NYY (26)

PHI (24)

PIT (23)

SD (30)

SEA (26)

SF (25)

STL (22)

TB (26)

TEX (29)

TOR (30)

WSH (23)