Adam Thielen Receiving yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Adam Thielen has cleared a receiving yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 53%
- 2025 season
- 45%
20-18 across 38 graded games
5-6 across 11 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | vs HOU | 13.5 | 25 | win |
| Jan 4 | vs BAL | 20.5 | 43 | win |
| Dec 28 | @ CLE | 19.5 | 14 | loss |
| Dec 21 | @ DET | 9.5 | 49 | win |
| Dec 15 | vs MIA | 16.5 | 7 | loss |
Under Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 47%
- 2025 season
- 55%
18-20 across 38 graded games
6-5 across 11 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | vs HOU | 13.5 | 25 | loss |
| Jan 4 | vs BAL | 20.5 | 43 | loss |
| Dec 28 | @ CLE | 19.5 | 14 | win |
| Dec 21 | @ DET | 9.5 | 49 | loss |
| Dec 15 | vs MIA | 16.5 | 7 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Adam Thielen's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.