Baker Mayfield Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Baker Mayfield has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 61%
- 2025 season
- 47%
33-21 across 54 graded games
8-9 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | vs CAR | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 28 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Dec 21 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 11 | vs ATL | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Dec 7 | vs NO | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 39%
- 2025 season
- 53%
21-33 across 54 graded games
9-8 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3 | vs CAR | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 28 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Dec 21 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 11 | vs ATL | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Dec 7 | vs NO | 1.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Baker Mayfield's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

