Brian Thomas Jr Receiving yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Brian Thomas Jr has cleared a receiving yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 58%
- 2025 season
- 33%
18-13 across 31 graded games
5-10 across 15 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | vs BUF | 41.5 | 21 | loss |
| Jan 4 | vs TEN | 41.5 | 49 | win |
| Dec 28 | @ IND | 49.5 | 39 | loss |
| Dec 21 | @ DEN | 42.5 | 18 | loss |
| Dec 14 | vs NYJ | 45.5 | 66 | win |
Under Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 42%
- 2025 season
- 67%
13-18 across 31 graded games
10-5 across 15 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | vs BUF | 41.5 | 21 | win |
| Jan 4 | vs TEN | 41.5 | 49 | loss |
| Dec 28 | @ IND | 49.5 | 39 | win |
| Dec 21 | @ DEN | 42.5 | 18 | win |
| Dec 14 | vs NYJ | 45.5 | 66 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Brian Thomas Jr's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.