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Deshaun Watson Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Deshaun Watson has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated September 21, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 47%
- 2026 season
- 100%
7-8 across 15 graded games
2-0 across 2 graded games
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ TB | 0.5 | 2 | win |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ JAX | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Oct 20, 2024 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Oct 13, 2024 | @ PHI | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Oct 6, 2024 | @ WAS | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 53%
- 2026 season
- 0%
8-7 across 15 graded games
0-2 across 2 graded games
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | @ TB | 0.5 | 2 | loss |
| Sep 13, 2026 | @ JAX | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Oct 20, 2024 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Oct 13, 2024 | @ PHI | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Oct 6, 2024 | @ WAS | 1.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Deshaun Watson's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.