Joe Burrow Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Joe Burrow has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 66%
- 2025 season
- 50%
23-12 across 35 graded games
4-4 across 8 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Dec 28 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 4 | win |
| Dec 14 | vs BAL | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Dec 7 | @ BUF | 1.5 | 4 | win |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 34%
- 2025 season
- 50%
12-23 across 35 graded games
4-4 across 8 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Dec 28 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 2 | win |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 4 | loss |
| Dec 14 | vs BAL | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Dec 7 | @ BUF | 1.5 | 4 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Joe Burrow's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.