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Justin Herbert Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends

How often Justin Herbert has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.

Passing TDs counts the touchdown passes a quarterback throws.

Over Passing TDs

These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.

All-time hit rate
47%

25-28 across 53 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Oct 11, 2026vs DEN1.51loss
Oct 4, 2026@ SEA0.51win

Under Passing TDs

These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.

All-time hit rate
53%

28-25 across 53 graded games

2026 season
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DateOpponentLineActualResult
Oct 11, 2026vs DEN1.51win
Oct 4, 2026@ SEA0.51loss

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Every market with graded history for Justin Herbert, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.

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Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.