Justin Herbert Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Justin Herbert has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.
Passing TDs counts the touchdown passes a quarterback throws.
Over Passing TDs
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 47%
- 2026 season
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25-28 across 53 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs DEN | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ SEA | 0.5 | 1 | win |
Under Passing TDs
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 53%
- 2026 season
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28-25 across 53 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs DEN | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ SEA | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Justin Herbert's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Justin Herbert props
Every market with graded history for Justin Herbert, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Interceptions thrownLine 0.5 · 44% all-time
- Pass + rush yardsLine 255.5 · 45% all-time
- Passing attemptsLine 30.5 · 47% all-time
- Passing completionsLine 18.5 · 36% all-time
- Passing yardsLine 199.5 · 43% all-time
- Rushing attemptsLine 5.5 · 60% all-time
- Rushing yardsLine 24.5 · 57% all-time
- Total touchdownsLine 1.5 · 0% all-time
All Justin Herbert props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

