Justin Herbert Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Justin Herbert has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 50%
- 2025 season
- 47%
24-24 across 48 graded games
8-9 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | @ NE | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
| Dec 27 | vs HOU | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 21 | @ DAL | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Dec 14 | @ KC | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 8 | vs PHI | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 50%
- 2025 season
- 53%
24-24 across 48 graded games
9-8 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11 | @ NE | 1.5 | 0 | win |
| Dec 27 | vs HOU | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 21 | @ DAL | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Dec 14 | @ KC | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 8 | vs PHI | 1.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Justin Herbert's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.