Michael Penix Jr. Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Michael Penix Jr. has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 19, 2026.
Passing TDs counts the touchdown passes a quarterback throws.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 33%
- 2026 season
- 50%
5-10 across 15 graded games
2-2 across 4 graded games
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs CHI | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Oct 5, 2026 | @ NO | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Sep 24, 2026 | @ GB | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CAR | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 67%
- 2026 season
- 50%
10-5 across 15 graded games
2-2 across 4 graded games
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | vs CHI | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Oct 11, 2026 | vs BAL | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Oct 5, 2026 | @ NO | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Sep 24, 2026 | @ GB | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs CAR | 1.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
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More Michael Penix Jr. props
Every market with graded history for Michael Penix Jr., hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Passing yardsLine 236.5 · 53% all-time · 50% this season
All Michael Penix Jr. props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.