Sam Darnold Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Sam Darnold has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 55%
- 2025 season
- 45%
21-17 across 38 graded games
9-11 across 20 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8 | @ NE | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Jan 25 | vs LA | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Jan 17 | vs SF | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
| Jan 3 | @ SF | 1.5 | 0 | loss |
| Dec 28 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 45%
- 2025 season
- 55%
17-21 across 38 graded games
11-9 across 20 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8 | @ NE | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Jan 25 | vs LA | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jan 17 | vs SF | 1.5 | 1 | win |
| Jan 3 | @ SF | 1.5 | 0 | win |
| Dec 28 | @ CAR | 1.5 | 1 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Sam Darnold's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

