T.J. Watt player_sacks Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often T.J. Watt has cleared a player_sacks number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over player_sacks
- All-time hit rate
- 43%
- 2025 season
- 31%
12-16 across 28 graded games
4-9 across 13 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | vs HOU | 0.3 | 0 | loss |
| Jan 4 | vs BAL | 0.3 | 0 | loss |
| Dec 7 | @ BAL | 0.8 | 0 | loss |
| Nov 30 | vs BUF | 0.8 | 0 | loss |
| Nov 23 | @ CHI | 0.8 | 1 | win |
Under player_sacks
- All-time hit rate
- 57%
- 2025 season
- 69%
16-12 across 28 graded games
9-4 across 13 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12 | vs HOU | 0.3 | 0 | win |
| Jan 4 | vs BAL | 0.3 | 0 | win |
| Dec 7 | @ BAL | 0.8 | 0 | win |
| Nov 30 | vs BUF | 0.8 | 0 | win |
| Nov 23 | @ CHI | 0.8 | 1 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View T.J. Watt's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

