Zach Ertz Receiving yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Zach Ertz has cleared a receiving yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 54%
- 2025 season
- 50%
21-18 across 39 graded games
6-6 across 12 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7 | @ MIN | 37.5 | 11 | loss |
| Nov 30 | vs DEN | 33.5 | 106 | win |
| Nov 9 | vs DET | 35.5 | 54 | win |
| Nov 2 | vs SEA | 35.5 | 46 | win |
| Oct 27 | @ KC | 30.5 | 16 | loss |
Under Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 46%
- 2025 season
- 50%
18-21 across 39 graded games
6-6 across 12 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7 | @ MIN | 37.5 | 11 | win |
| Nov 30 | vs DEN | 33.5 | 106 | loss |
| Nov 9 | vs DET | 35.5 | 54 | loss |
| Nov 2 | vs SEA | 35.5 | 46 | loss |
| Oct 27 | @ KC | 30.5 | 16 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Zach Ertz's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.