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Aaron Nola Earned runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Aaron Nola has cleared a earned runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Earned runs counts the runs charged to a pitcher, not counting runs that come from errors.
Over Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 51%
- 2026 season
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51-49 across 100 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ ATL | 1.5 | 3 | void |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs TB | 0.5 | 3 | void |
Under Earned runs
- All-time hit rate
- 49%
- 2026 season
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49-51 across 100 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ ATL | 1.5 | 3 | void |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs TB | 0.5 | 3 | void |
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More Aaron Nola props
Every market with graded history for Aaron Nola, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Hits allowedLine 3.5 · 55% all-time
- Outs recordedLine 11.5 · 52% all-time
- StrikeoutsLine 3.5 · 54% all-time
- WalksLine 0.5 · 50% all-time
All Aaron Nola props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.