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Carson Kelly Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Carson Kelly has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 14, 2026.
Home runs counts home runs hit, inside-the-park ones too. A grand slam is still one.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 8%
- 2026 season
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24-260 across 284 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | @ SD | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Sep 29, 2026 | @ SD | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 88%
- 2026 season
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130-18 across 148 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | vs LAA | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 29, 2026 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Carson Kelly's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Carson Kelly props
Every market with graded history for Carson Kelly, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- HitsLine 0.5 · 52% all-time
- Hits + Runs + RBILine 0.5 · 48% all-time
- RBILine 0.5 · 26% all-time
- RunsLine 0.5 · 33% all-time
- SinglesLine 0.5 · 47% all-time
- Total basesLine 0.5 · 39% all-time
- WalksLine 0.5 · 29% all-time
All Carson Kelly props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.