Carson Kelly Home runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Carson Kelly has cleared a home runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 7%
- 2026 season
- 7%
- Recent form
- 20%
10-129 across 139 graded games
5-67 across 72 graded games
2-8 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 26 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 25 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Aug 24 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 1 | win |
Under Home runs
- All-time hit rate
- 89%
- 2026 season
- 100%
- Recent form
- 90%
50-6 across 56 graded games
3-0 across 3 graded games
9-1 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1 | vs LAA | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 29 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 28 | vs WSH | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Mar 26 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Oct 11 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Carson Kelly's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.