Carson Kelly Runs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Carson Kelly has cleared a runs number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 30, 2026.
Over Runs
- All-time hit rate
- 41%
- 2026 season
- 41%
- Recent form
- 60%
53-76 across 129 graded games
27-39 across 66 graded games
6-4 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 3 | win |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 1 | win |
| Aug 26 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 0 | loss |
| Aug 25 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Aug 24 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 1 | win |
Under Runs
- All-time hit rate
- 56%
- 2026 season
- 59%
- Recent form
- 40%
67-52 across 119 graded games
39-27 across 66 graded games
4-6 across the last 10 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 3 | loss |
| Aug 28 | vs CIN | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
| Aug 26 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 0 | win |
| Aug 25 | — | 0.5 | — | dnp |
| Aug 24 | @ ARI | 0.5 | 1 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live MLB props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Carson Kelly's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.