Jake Ferguson Receiving yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Jake Ferguson has cleared a receiving yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.
Receiving yards adds up the yards gained on a player's catches.
Over Receiving yards
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 39%
- 2026 season
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21-33 across 54 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs TB | 26.5 | 19 | loss |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ HOU | 24.5 | 11 | loss |
Under Receiving yards
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 61%
- 2026 season
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33-21 across 54 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs TB | 26.5 | 19 | win |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ HOU | 24.5 | 11 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Jake Ferguson's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Jake Ferguson props
Every market with graded history for Jake Ferguson, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- ReceptionsLine 3.5 · 53% all-time
- Total touchdownsLine 1.5 · 6% all-time
All Jake Ferguson props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.

