Jake Ferguson Receiving yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Jake Ferguson has cleared a receiving yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 41%
- 2025 season
- 29%
20-29 across 49 graded games
5-12 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4 | @ NYG | 30.5 | 5 | loss |
| Dec 25 | @ WAS | 37.5 | 6 | loss |
| Dec 21 | vs LAC | 33.5 | 19 | loss |
| Dec 14 | vs MIN | 33.5 | 16 | loss |
| Dec 4 | @ DET | 37.5 | 58 | win |
Under Receiving yards
- All-time hit rate
- 59%
- 2025 season
- 71%
29-20 across 49 graded games
12-5 across 17 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4 | @ NYG | 30.5 | 5 | win |
| Dec 25 | @ WAS | 37.5 | 6 | win |
| Dec 21 | vs LAC | 33.5 | 19 | win |
| Dec 14 | vs MIN | 33.5 | 16 | win |
| Dec 4 | @ DET | 37.5 | 58 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Jake Ferguson's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.