Jake Ferguson Receptions Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Jake Ferguson has cleared a receptions number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Receptions
- All-time hit rate
- 56%
- 2025 season
- 63%
27-21 across 48 graded games
10-6 across 16 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25 | @ WAS | 4.5 | 1 | loss |
| Dec 21 | vs LAC | 4.5 | 3 | loss |
| Dec 14 | vs MIN | 4.5 | 2 | loss |
| Dec 4 | @ DET | 4.5 | 5 | win |
| Nov 27 | vs KC | 4.5 | 5 | win |
Under Receptions
- All-time hit rate
- 44%
- 2025 season
- 38%
21-27 across 48 graded games
6-10 across 16 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25 | @ WAS | 4.5 | 1 | win |
| Dec 21 | vs LAC | 4.5 | 3 | win |
| Dec 14 | vs MIN | 4.5 | 2 | win |
| Dec 4 | @ DET | 4.5 | 5 | loss |
| Nov 27 | vs KC | 4.5 | 5 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Jake Ferguson's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.