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Jake Ferguson Receptions Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Jake Ferguson has cleared a receptions number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.
Receptions counts the passes a player catches.
Over Receptions
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 53%
- 2026 season
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28-25 across 53 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs TB | 3.5 | 3 | loss |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ HOU | 3.5 | 3 | loss |
Under Receptions
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 47%
- 2026 season
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25-28 across 53 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | vs TB | 3.5 | 3 | win |
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ HOU | 3.5 | 3 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
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More Jake Ferguson props
Every market with graded history for Jake Ferguson, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Receiving yardsLine 26.5 · 39% all-time
- Total touchdownsLine 1.5 · 6% all-time
All Jake Ferguson props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.