Matthew Stafford Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Matthew Stafford has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 50%
- 2025 season
- 65%
27-27 across 54 graded games
13-7 across 20 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | @ SEA | 1.5 | 3 | win |
| Jan 18 | @ CHI | 2.5 | 0 | loss |
| Jan 10 | @ CAR | 2.5 | 3 | win |
| Jan 4 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 4 | win |
| Dec 29 | @ ATL | 2.5 | 2 | loss |
Under Passing TDs
- All-time hit rate
- 50%
- 2025 season
- 35%
27-27 across 54 graded games
7-13 across 20 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | @ SEA | 1.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jan 18 | @ CHI | 2.5 | 0 | win |
| Jan 10 | @ CAR | 2.5 | 3 | loss |
| Jan 4 | vs ARI | 2.5 | 4 | loss |
| Dec 29 | @ ATL | 2.5 | 2 | win |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Matthew Stafford's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.