Patrick Mahomes Passing TDs Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Patrick Mahomes has cleared a passing tds number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.
Passing TDs counts the touchdown passes a quarterback throws.
Over Passing TDs
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 43%
- 2026 season
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24-32 across 56 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 1.5 | 2 | win |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 2 | win |
Under Passing TDs
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 57%
- 2026 season
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32-24 across 56 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 1.5 | 2 | loss |
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More Patrick Mahomes props
Every market with graded history for Patrick Mahomes, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Interceptions thrownLine 0.5 · 57% all-time
- Pass + rush yardsLine 263.5 · 43% all-time
- Passing attemptsLine 32.5 · 55% all-time
- Passing completionsLine 20.5 · 46% all-time
- Passing yardsLine 237.5 · 45% all-time
- Rushing attemptsLine 3.5 · 50% all-time
- Rushing yardsLine 15.5 · 50% all-time
- Total touchdownsLine 1.5 · 3% all-time
All Patrick Mahomes props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.