Patrick Mahomes Passing yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Patrick Mahomes has cleared a passing yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated October 15, 2026.
Passing yards adds up the yards on a quarterback's completed passes.
Over Passing yards
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 45%
- 2026 season
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25-31 across 56 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 237.5 | 225 | loss |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 236.5 | 246 | win |
Under Passing yards
These records grade against whatever line was captured for each game, which can run hours ahead of kickoff rather than the closing number.
- All-time hit rate
- 55%
- 2026 season
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31-25 across 56 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | @ LV | 237.5 | 225 | win |
| Sep 27, 2026 | @ MIA | 236.5 | 246 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Patrick Mahomes's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
More Patrick Mahomes props
Every market with graded history for Patrick Mahomes, hit rate from our own settled games — no vendor odds.
- Interceptions thrownLine 0.5 · 57% all-time
- Pass + rush yardsLine 263.5 · 43% all-time
- Passing attemptsLine 32.5 · 55% all-time
- Passing completionsLine 20.5 · 46% all-time
- Passing TDsLine 1.5 · 43% all-time
- Rushing attemptsLine 3.5 · 50% all-time
- Rushing yardsLine 15.5 · 50% all-time
- Total touchdownsLine 1.5 · 3% all-time
All Patrick Mahomes props — every graded market on one page.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.