Patrick Mahomes Passing yards Props: Hit Rate & Trends
How often Patrick Mahomes has cleared a passing yards number in settled games, built from our own game logs. Updated August 31, 2026.
Over Passing yards
- All-time hit rate
- 44%
- 2025 season
- 50%
23-29 across 52 graded games
7-7 across 14 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14 | vs LAC | 236.5 | 189 | loss |
| Dec 7 | vs HOU | 242.5 | 160 | loss |
| Nov 27 | @ DAL | 276.5 | 261 | loss |
| Nov 23 | vs IND | 270.5 | 352 | win |
| Nov 16 | @ DEN | 263.5 | 276 | win |
Under Passing yards
- All-time hit rate
- 56%
- 2025 season
- 50%
29-23 across 52 graded games
7-7 across 14 graded games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14 | vs LAC | 236.5 | 189 | win |
| Dec 7 | vs HOU | 242.5 | 160 | win |
| Nov 27 | @ DAL | 276.5 | 261 | win |
| Nov 23 | vs IND | 270.5 | 352 | loss |
| Nov 16 | @ DEN | 263.5 | 276 | loss |
Put this to work
- See today's live NFL props board — every market, updated through the day.
- View Patrick Mahomes's full fantasy trends — rolling splits across every category, not just this market.
Source: our own settled game results, refreshed with every deploy.